Insights

In a dynamic business landscape, market participants face increasingly complex and interconnected risks. Combining a longstanding record in risk analysis with deep domain expertise and global coverage, Moody’s trusted research and actionable insights bring clarity to decision-making, enabling you to decode risk and unlock opportunity.


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Our latest insights

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Enhancing national security with public-private partnerships

Discover 10 ways public-private partnerships enhance national security, from tech innovation to resource optimization. Learn how these collaborations provide a strategic edge in risk management and adaptability to emerging threats.

  • Governments
  • Public sector
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Private entity underwriting for financial lines insurers

Financial lines private entity underwriting is challenging with limited public data. Learn how deep data, AI, and predictive analytics can improve efficiency, risk selection, and pricing. Enhance compliance processes and make decisions faster.

  • Insurance
  • Underwriting
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Master data management in insurance: A strategic imperative

Elevate insurance industry operations with strategic data management. Overcome data challenges for improved customer experiences, underwriting accuracy, and regulatory compliance. Harness the power of data for market differentiation.

  • Insurance
  • Underwriting
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Innovation in trade credit insurance underwriting

Explore the future of trade credit underwriting with AI-driven insights, cybersecurity, and B2B data for a proactive, comprehensive risk management strategy.

  • Insurance
  • Underwriting
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Chinese electric vehicle makers eye emerging markets amid US, EU tariffs

Overseas expansion holds promise but carries multiple risks, including evolving geopolitical tensions, high costs and fluctuating EV demand.

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China’s latest climate policies will bring long-term benefits for net-zero journey

Policy measures will increase burdens on heavy greenhouse-gas emitters, but in the long run they will encourage adoption of renewable energy and investment in green technologies.

whitepaper
Assessing the macroeconomic consequences of Harris vs. Trump

In this analysis we assess the macroeconomic consequences of the policies proposed by the candidates. Each has put forward a wide range of proposals to change the tax code, government spending, and trade, immigration and regulatory policies that could have significant effects on the economy’s performance.

podcast
Latin American national oil companies face hurdles in reducing greenhouse gas emissions

Challenges include the region’s reliance on fossil fuels to meet energy demand amid population growth, the companies’ weak financials and governments’ reliance on revenue from oil and gas producers.

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China Credit Trend Monitor: New tech drives growth for some sectors but most stay weak

China's growth in new energy vehicles and AI is boosting demand for data centers, electricity and some metals. But a slowing economy will dampen revenues in most sectors over the next 12-18 months.

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Latin American banks’ future profitability faces increasing challenges

Low growth, new competition and loan-origination challenges could dent profitability, which has kept the region's banks above their developed-market peers.

research
Ofwat’s draft determination increases risk for regulated English and Welsh water companies

The draft determination’s tough cost and performance targets increase the risk that water company returns may not be enough to attract equity funding for future investment needs.

podcast
Asia's Economy Unwrapped podcast: It's a marathon, not a sprint

What potential impact does US monetary policy and the forthcoming high stakes election have on Asia? Exploring the impact of ever shifting global events on the Asia-Pacific region.

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Shift to new encryption methods to counter quantum computing threat will be long, costly

Quantum computing threatens the encryption that supports international commerce. Implementing new standards may take 10 to 15 years and will be costly, similar to efforts to address the Year 2000 bug.

whitepaper
Swiss banks: Improved profitability has little impact on low capital creation

Swiss domestic banks show stable performance and improved profitability. Capitalization remains robust albeit with historically low internal capital creation. However, there are notable variations among Swiss entities in their financial metrics.

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Five factors that will shape credit conditions in the second half

Monetary policy, the global economy and commercial real estate’s continued resilience to high rates, geopolitics and elections will all shape credit quality in the second half of 2024. 

podcast
Inside Economics podcast: Hair on fire

It has been a hair on fire couple weeks for global investors. This episode delves into the causes of this volatility and considers what it all means for monetary policy and the economy.

podcast
Central bank push to tame inflation boosts credit quality of Turkish sovereign, companies

Rate hikes in Turkiye have slowed inflation, and confidence in the country’s currency is increasing. The sovereign’s creditworthiness is improving as a result, along with that of Turkish companies.

research
Latin America’s regulatory convergence will raise banks’ capital metrics and comparability

As its major economies move toward Basel III and IFRS9 accounting standards, the region stands to close its longtime gap in bank capitalization with its developed-country counterparts.

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Mastering growth: Leveraging master data management for strategic advantage

Master data management (MDM) systems are essential for organizations seeking to enhance operational efficiency, ensure data quality, and drive strategic growth. In this blog, we discuss nine key takeaways from our recent MDM webinar, “Mastering data excellence: the power of MDM in decision-making and risk management".

  • Company reference data
podcast
Huge demand for data centers right now masks underlying credit risks

In this episode, John Medina explains what risks this uncertainty poses to investors in the corporate credit, leveraged loan, bank, CMBS, ABS, private credit and project finance markets.

  • Credit risk
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AI can achieve significant efficiencies but won't outperform the market

Asset management is well suited to automation by artificial intelligence (AI). It is information-based and data-driven. Recent advances in generative AI that can create text, images and code, together with older predictive AI technologies already widely used, will be able to handle many routine tasks carried out by asset managers.

  • Artificial intelligence
whitepaper
From boom to gloom: Navigating the impending downturn in the German construction and real estate sector

A decrease in demand for new buildings is threatening the performance of the CRE sector in many European countries, including Germany, which is currently experiencing a real estate downturn.

podcast
Inside Economics podcast: Episode 166 - Economic exceptionalism

Why is the U.S. economy outperforming much of the world?

A deep dive on the resilience of the U.S. economy.

  • Economics
whitepaper
GCC Investment: Capitalising on diversification

The Gulf Cooperation Council countries are well placed to continue to play an important role in international investment flows but need to maintain the pace of their diversification efforts.

Upcoming events

10
Sep
event
Entity Verification study: Who are you doing business with?

Join us for an enlightening webinar on the critical role of Entity Verification in answering the question – who am I doing business with?

17
Sep
event
Climate-proofing your credit portfolio – Why it matters and how to approach it

Join us for an expert-led session on integrating climate considerations into credit portfolio management. Gain practical insights from EY, TD, and Moody’s on global trends, real-world applications, and the growing importance of climate scenario analysis for informed, profitable portfolio planning.


Our integrated perspectives on key areas of risk

Outlooks

Credit outlook

Credit outlook

  • Risk of wider conflict between Israel and Hezbollah has increased
  • Royal Bank of Canada's strong franchises and smooth HSBC Canada integration drive credit-positive results
  • Spin-off of Smithfield Foods' European operations reduces footprint, moderately increases leverage
Read more
Weekly market outlook

Weekly market outlook

  • U.S. second-quarter growth looks even better
  • The long view: High-grade corporate spreads hover near 12-month highs (US); Olympics boost Euro zone sentiment (EMEA); Why foreign direct investment is shrinking (APAC); Mixed GDP results across region (LatAm)
  • Ratings roundup: Uber Technologies leads U.S. upgrades
Read more